Shots fired in 2007 Brisbane coffee war.

Espresso shots are being fired daily in the streets of Brisbane as baristas compete for the caffeine-conscious consumer.  In the face of rising costs, cappuccino prices have marginally increased by 5c in the past year.

It’s a caffeine bath on the battlefield when more than 30% of coffee outlets disappear or rebrand each year.  The strong survive and the new entrants compete just to stay open.

Each year, Milton based coffee distributor, Gilkatho surveys over 100 coffee outlets in Brisbane to determine the average price of the takeaway cappuccino.  The average price in 2007 is $2.85 up slightly from the 2006 average of $2.80. 

Cappuccino prices are up by 1.8% in contract to the Australian Bureau Statistics CPI (food component) being up by 3.7%.  Cappuccino prices are falling behind and café operators need to rely on increased volumes to maintain profitability.

With food prices increasing at a greater rate and some milk products having increased in price by 80% over the past year, the humble cappuccino is putting pressure on business.

Staff wages continue to rise in the market.  Availability of staff is likely to be a problem in the future with Australia’s record low unemployment.

Compounding the problem for café operators is the psychological price barriers that people will pay for a coffee.  Different areas of Brisbane have different barriers but ultimately a $2.95 coffee is a lot more palatable than a $3.05 cup.

My predictions from the above:

  • Café operators are likely to be under financial hardship now or in the next 12 months unless they can rise prices and/or increase consumption volumes.
  • A wave of technology needs to move through the industry to improve productivity and use less people removing the wages and staff availability pressure.
  • Espresso coffee trend to spread wider through the workplace.
  • Coffee industry to remain competitive with expansion of chains ie McDs, Starbucks, Gloria Jeans.

More than 60% of surveyed cafes decreased or did not change their prices.  This indicates the competitive pressure.  Research over the past five years shows that well managed franchise chains are more likely to pass on regularly small price increases and thus keep abreast of rising input costs.

Australia’s thirst for coffee grew by 65% in the last 10 years with average consumption now 2.4 kg per annum.  Instant coffee companies now talk about their aging demographic, as older people are staying with “instant” while younger generations are moving to espresso and fresh beverages.

 

CPI

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

All Areas

$2.85

$2.80

$2.67

$2.54

$2.37

$2.58

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All Areas Capp Price Increase

1.8%

4.9%

5.1%

7.2%

-8.1

 

ABS CPI % change over year

3.2%

3.5%

2.5%

2.5%

3.4%

 

 

Table 1 : Cappuccino Price Index

ABS CPI in the Food group (take away and fast foods) for the year to June 2007 increased 3.7%

 

 

For more information and editorial comment:

Wayne Fowler
Managing Director
Gilkatho Pty Ltd
Ph: 0421 333 031

E: wayne@gilkatho.com.au

ABS CONSUMER PRICE INDEX, AUSTRALIA (CAT. NO. 6401.0) ALL GROUPS, Percentage changes-Brisbane

 

Methodology

Each year, Gilkatho carries out a survey of Brisbane’s Cappuccino prices in order to understand the retail price of cappuccino hot beverages and the implications for Gilkatho’s business planning. This information is used to compile the Cappuccino Price Index which is published internally in March each year. Selected cappuccino society areas in Brisbane are survey by walking into each establishment and obtaining the price of three hot beverages, cappuccino, espresso and long black for both takeaway and dine-in consumption.

The areas that have been surveyed are:

  • Brisbane CBD
  • West End
  • Milton, Park Road
  • Bulimba, Oxford Street
  • Ascot, Racecourse Road (2003 onwards)

About Gilkatho Pty Ltd

Gilkatho is a Brisbane based supplier of coffee equipment and supplies to hotels, clubs & offices in Southeast Qld.  The competitiveness in the retail coffee market ultimately determines the attractiveness of alternative ways in which consumers can obtain espresso coffee. 

The increasing price of takeaway coffee continues to support Gilkatho's business plan that it is more cost effective for office based consumers to use automatic coffee equipment to produce the same quality product at a lower price as well as achieve time savings of having the beverage prepared closer to their office.

Gilkatho was established in 1996 and operates from a coffee equipment showroom in Milton.

Visit Gilkatho's other websites

Main company website - http://www.gilkatho.com.au

 


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